US
US Presidential Election
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 73
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted that Donald Trump would win the US Presidential Election on November 5, 2024.
"Trump's going to be in office."
Jun 20, 2025
Correct
Predicted that Donald Trump would win the US Presidential Election on November 5, 2024.
"Trump's going to be in office."
Jun 20, 2025
Correct
Eric Trump, son of Donald Trump, is appointed as an advisor to Meta Planet, possibly due to his Bitcoin credentials.
"I'm sure it's just because of his bit Bitcoin credentials nothing to do with the fact that he's rela..."
Mar 24, 2025
Pending
Predicted that Donald Trump would win the 2024 US Presidential Election.
"the first was that Trump would win"
Nov 6, 2024
Correct
Prediction markets like Polymarket show Donald Trump with a significant lead in the US Presidential election.
"at the moment if you uh if you're a believer in prediction markets like a poly Market Etc um then Do..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump holds substantial leads over Kamala Harris in key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, according to prediction markets.
"Donald Trump has got some pretty big margins over Kamala Harris um including in critical swing state..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
The most probable reason for the prediction market trends is that a wealthy individual or entity is convinced of a Trump victory.
"the most likely explanation is that someone out there with a lot of money is is convinced Trump is g..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump has adopted a vocal pro-crypto stance and is engaging with crypto-related memes, indicating his potential alignment with the crypto community.
"Donald Trump has been very vocally Pro crypto he's even picked up it would seem on the on the meme o..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
A comparison of crypto policies shows the Biden administration as the most anti-crypto, while both Trump and Harris are perceived as more favorable, with Harris potentially being better than Biden.
"if we can bring there's a heat map um that Galaxy have have put together with um Biden and Harris an..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
From a crypto perspective, the upcoming US election is seen as a 'win-win' because either outcome will result in an administration different from the current one, which is perceived as unfavorable.
"from a crypto point of view like I hesitate to say this because crypto can always find a way to lose..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
If Kamala Harris wins the election, crypto prices might initially adjust downwards due to market pricing in a Trump victory, but overall regulatory conditions are expected to be better than under the Biden administration.
"if she does win prices will adjust down quickly because they've been pricing in a trump Victory righ..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
The growing influence of the crypto industry means that neither major presidential candidate can afford to ignore it.
"the crypto industry now is a is a much more powerful player and I think that means that neither cand..."
Oct 21, 2024
Pending
The outcome of the election in November is predicted to significantly influence the housing market.
"But you want to pay attention to what happens in November with the election because that could defin..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
The US presidential election is expected to have a significant impact on the crypto landscape.
"in this year's US presidential election in a big way"
Aug 25, 2024
Pending
The upcoming US presidential election in 2024 is noted as a factor that will influence the Federal Reserve Bank.
"Of course, we also have an election coming later in 2024 which impacts the Federal Reserve Bank."
Aug 24, 2024
Pending
Kamala Harris has a slight lead in the US presidential election polls at the time of the recording.
"at the time of shooting it's Harris who has a slight lead"
Aug 10, 2024
Pending
Approximately 6% of voters in six key swing states will determine the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election.
"6% of the electorate in Six States will cast the deciding votes this November"
Jul 24, 2024
Pending
One out of every five registered voters in battleground states considers cryptocurrency a major issue in the 2024 US election.
"one in five registered voters in Battleground States consider cryptocurrency a major issue in the 20..."
Jul 24, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump's chances of winning the presidency have reportedly increased.
"Trump has a strong chance of winning."
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
A Trump presidency could bring regulatory certainty to the crypto market due to the potential for pro-crypto regulations.
"a trump presidency would create certainty for crypto due to the likelihood of pro crypto regulations..."
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
Joe Biden has announced he will not seek a second term as president.
"Joe Biden announces he won't seek a second term"
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville.
"Trump has confirmed that he will be speaking at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville later this week"
Jul 22, 2024
Pending
The speaker encourages viewers to engage with their content if they desire a pro-crypto president.
"if you're hoping for a pro crypto president as much as we are then go ahead and smash that like subs..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Prediction markets indicate a low likelihood that Michelle Obama intends to run for president.
"the markets highly doubt she even wants to to run for president"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
There is a 6% probability that a candidate categorized as 'other' will replace Joe Biden.
"the market says there is a 6% chance of someone in this category replacing Biden"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Gretchen Whitmer's stance on crypto is largely unknown or unexpressed.
"Gretchen Whitmer looks to us like another relatively blank canvas"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Kamala Harris has a 32% chance of securing the Democratic nomination, while Joe Biden has a 54% chance.
"poly Market shows a 32% chance of her taking the Democratic nomination this year versus Joe Biden's ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Kamala Harris has not established a clear record or public stance on cryptocurrency.
"Harris's record on crypto is basically non-existent"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
If Kamala Harris runs for president, donations from the US crypto industry could be beneficial for her campaign.
"if Harris does end up running for president then a donation here and there from the us crypto indust..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
If wealthy donors can influence Kamala Harris's appointments to regulatory bodies, a future Harris administration might be less hostile to the crypto industry.
"if wealthy donors can influence her appointments at the SEC Federal Reserve Treasury cftc and so on ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
With less than a month until the Democratic National Convention, Joe Biden is still refusing to step down.
"at the time of making this video there's just over a month left until the Democratic National Conven..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
The speaker expresses doubt about Joe Biden's cognitive abilities and believes the idea of him serving until 2028 is unrealistic.
"Biden is not going to become any more Lucid anytime soon and the notion that he will be mentally fit..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Gavin Newsom is considered the most hopeful candidate to replace Biden from a crypto industry perspective due to his apparent attention and receptiveness.
"our best hope for a Biden replacement is probably Gavin Newsom purely because he seems to be paying ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Despite potential, Gavin Newsom has low odds of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"at any rate the market markets are giving him pretty slim chances"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Prediction markets suggest Kamala Harris has a lower chance of defeating Donald Trump than Michelle Obama, who is not actively seeking the nomination.
"if those prediction markets are to be believed Harris's chances of beating Trump are Slimmer than ev..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Joe Biden is considered unfavorable to the crypto industry, while Kamala Harris's stance remains undetermined.
"Biden has proven that he is no friend to crypto and Harris well at least we can say that she has yet..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump is predicted to declare himself the 'crypto president' and appeal to crypto voters.
"Trump has taken another look at the crypto vote and spotted an open goal and now he's claiming that ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Democrats are predicted to adopt a more favorable stance on crypto due to the Republican platform and Trump's messaging.
"Democrats have any sense they'll be scrambling to put together a softer message on crypto in respons..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
The Democratic party's messaging on crypto will be shaped by the nominee chosen at their August convention.
"The content of that message will depend on who becomes the nominee at the Democratic National Conven..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
A significant amount of money is being wagered on prediction markets regarding the Democratic Party ticket for the upcoming election.
"poly market users have wagered over $100 million on who will be on the Democrat Party ticket come th..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Joe Biden's chances of being the Democratic nominee have significantly decreased and remain volatile following the debate.
"Biden's performance caused his odds on poly Market to fall off a cliff after bottoming around 35% th..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
If Joe Biden withdraws, Kamala Harris is predicted to be the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination.
"If Biden does step down poly Market has Kamala Harris as the favorite with 32.2% odds"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
If Joe Biden resigns, Kamala Harris will likely become president before the election, allowing the public to become familiar with her presidency.
"if Biden is to exit sooner rather than later then the public will get to know president Kamala Harri..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
If Kamala Harris becomes president due to Biden stepping down, she is predicted to secure the Democratic nomination.
"if this happens it's hard to imagine that Harris wouldn't also take the nomination at the Democratic..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Michelle Obama is currently considered the second most likely candidate for the Democratic nomination, with a 6% chance.
"the closest candidate is Michelle Obama Who currently has a 6% chance of becoming the nominee accord..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Gavin Newsom and Hillary Clinton have low probabilities (3% and 1% respectively) of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"Gavin Nome and Hillary Clinton are trailing Obama with 3% and 1% odds respectively"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
The combined chances of all other potential Democratic nominees, including Gretchen Whitmer, are equivalent to Michelle Obama's individual chances.
"The collective chances of anyone listed here including Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer are about ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Despite explicit denials, prediction markets still favor Michelle Obama as a strong contender for the Democratic nomination.
"Michelle Obama she has explicitly ruled out running for president and yet the market has her as the ..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
The speaker emphasizes the uncertainty of the upcoming presidential election, with multiple potential outcomes regarding Biden's candidacy and replacement.
"Anything could happen between now and then so whether Biden can cling on or if he's replaced by anot..."
Jul 16, 2024
Pending
Hillary Clinton has a 1% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee.
"Hillary Clinton back in 2016 a 1% chance of becoming the Democratic nominee"
Jul 16, 2024
Pending